Two weeks ago, I thought this game was a lock. Steelers would easily win. The Steelers were the Steelers and the Cardinals were a fluke. I mean, really, a 9-7 team in the Super Bowl? Why don't we just put the Tampa Bay Rays in the World Series. Oh, wait a minute.
Then one week ago, I thought, well, maybe the Cardinals will be able to keep it close. They've got a pretty good offense, they're hot, maybe they won't get blown out.
Two days ago, the thought actually entered my mind that the Cardinals might even win this thing. All of the pundits said that the Steelers would win easily. When everyone starts going one way, I start to think about going the other way. I'm finally sold on Kurt Warner (thanks a lot, Chris), I'm buying into the Cardinal's defense. I thought the Cardinals would win.
This morning when I woke up, reality slapped me in the face and I came to my senses. The Steelers proved during the regular season that they were a better team. And the regular season isn't an aberration. They went 12-4, played a tough schedule in a tough division. They've been through the fire, they're battle-tested. I try to imagine a scenario where the Steelers defense can't contain the Cardinals--can't do it. I try to imagine a scenario where the Steelers offense can't move the ball against the Cardinals defense--can't do it.
Now, with that being said, I do think this will be closer than I originally thought. The line has Steelers favored (-7). The Cardinals offense will be able to score some points. The Steelers aren't going to light up the scoreboard. So I think this is going to be a pretty tight game. When it's all over, the Steelers will win, but can't cover. Take the Cardinals.
* Cardinals 23
Steelers 27
Friday, January 30, 2009
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Degenerates Rejoice!
For unto you Super Bowl prop odds are given. If you are one of those people that like football...because it gives you something to bet on, proposition bets are for you. Now most people will probably put five, ten bucks on the game. But not the degenerate gamblers. It isn't enough for them to bet on the winner or loser, let alone simply watch the game. Degenerate gambler needs action--s/he needs to have something riding. S/he will be betting on some of the following:
(please keep in mind that these aren't made up. these are real bets you can make, if you are so inclined to, and odds are courtesy of bodoglife.com an online gambling site. have fun and please, gamble responsibly)
Player to score the first TD in the game for the Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 9/1
Hines Ward (PIT) 3/1
Santonio Holmes (PIT) 15/4
Nate Washington (PIT) 6/1
Heath Miller (PIT) 9/2
Limas Sweed (PIT) 15/2
Willie Parker (PIT) 5/2
Mewelde Moore (PIT) 6/1
Gary Russell (PIT) 6/1
Troy Polamalu (PIT) 10/1
Field (Any Other Player) 5/2
Team does not score a TD in the game 20/1
Hines Ward and Fast Willie Parker are the favorites, but I have a hunch that Santonio Holmes will get the first score--he's a receiver and a punt returner. Take Holmes.
Total Passing Yards - Kurt Warner
Over/Under 265 1/2
Considering that the pass is the only way that the Cardinals can move the football, it sure as hell better be over if they want to win. Take the over.
Super Bowl XLIII - Which Super Bowl commercial will have a higher rating on USA Today's annual Ad Meter?
Anheuser-Busch / Budweiser 5/6
Go Daddy.com 17/2
Pepsi 13/4
Coca-Cola 21/4
McDonald's 29/4
Doritos 7/2
Other 9/4
Doesn't Budweiser always win this? I mean, hell, they buy at least two dozen ads for the Super Bowl. Take Budweiser.
Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?
God 4/5
Family 4/1
Teammates 2/1
Coach 9/1
Does not Thank Anyone 5/1
The Almighty always wins this one. And what would happen if you bet against God? He might smite you and you don't want that. Take God.
What Song will Bruce Springsteen sing to begin his Halftime Show at the Super Bowl?
The Rising 6/1
Born in the USA 21/20
Radio Nowhere 9/1
The Wrestler 13/2
I'm on Fire 14/1
Born to Run 9/4
Glory Days 11/4
This one is interesting because I actually think Springsteen's newest single, "Working On A Dream" will be the first song. But since that's not an option, I'm going to say that the Boss will start the show with "Born to Run" and finish with "Born in the USA". Tramps like us....Take Born to Run.
How long will it take Jennifer Hudson to sing the National Anthem?
Over 2 minutes and 1 second -155
Under 2 minutes and 1 second +125
I suspect that Ms. Hudson is the "diva" type, which means she'll be holding those notes exxxtttrraaa long. Take the oooovvvvveeeeerrrrr.
How many times will Al Michaels and John Madden reference Ben Roethlisberger as Big Ben during the Game.
Over/Under 5 (+160)o/(-220)u
Now, this is a tough one. The wild card here is Madden. He's really a loose canon and you never know what he'll do/say. But since "Big Ben" is now pretty much a veteran player, I think they'll be able to control themselves. And by now, Madden has surly learned how to pronounce Roethlisberger. Right? Take the under.
How many food items will John Madden mention during the game?
Over/Under 1 1/2 (-280)0/(+220)u
This one's pretty easy. The only thing Madden likes more than football is Bret Farve. The only thing he likes more than football and Favre is food. And since Super Bowl Sunday is probably only second to Thanksgiving in food consumed by Americans, you know where his mind will be. Take the over.
Which NBC Show will get the most Promo’s during the game?
The Office 5/8
Heroes 13/5
30 Rock 17/4
Chuck 6/1
Friday Night Lights 12/1
Jay Leno 18/1
Conan O'Brian 20/1
Another tricky bet. The way I see it, everyone already knows about The Office, 30 Rock, Heroes, Leno, and O'Brian. That leaves Chuck and Friday Night Lights. Now, you might suspect that they'd go with Friday Night Lights and try to lure in the football crowd. But I think they pimp the hell out of Chuck, you know that show that you always see ads for, but never watch. Take Chuck.
What Color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team?
Lime Green 5/1
Yellow 5/2
Orange 6/1
Red 17/4
Blue 9/1
Clear/Water 10/11
Just a hunch. Take Lime Green.
Now, don't comment and tell me on Monday how many I got wrong...I'll tell you how many I got right.
(please keep in mind that these aren't made up. these are real bets you can make, if you are so inclined to, and odds are courtesy of bodoglife.com an online gambling site. have fun and please, gamble responsibly)
Player to score the first TD in the game for the Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 9/1
Hines Ward (PIT) 3/1
Santonio Holmes (PIT) 15/4
Nate Washington (PIT) 6/1
Heath Miller (PIT) 9/2
Limas Sweed (PIT) 15/2
Willie Parker (PIT) 5/2
Mewelde Moore (PIT) 6/1
Gary Russell (PIT) 6/1
Troy Polamalu (PIT) 10/1
Field (Any Other Player) 5/2
Team does not score a TD in the game 20/1
Hines Ward and Fast Willie Parker are the favorites, but I have a hunch that Santonio Holmes will get the first score--he's a receiver and a punt returner. Take Holmes.
Total Passing Yards - Kurt Warner
Over/Under 265 1/2
Considering that the pass is the only way that the Cardinals can move the football, it sure as hell better be over if they want to win. Take the over.
Super Bowl XLIII - Which Super Bowl commercial will have a higher rating on USA Today's annual Ad Meter?
Anheuser-Busch / Budweiser 5/6
Go Daddy.com 17/2
Pepsi 13/4
Coca-Cola 21/4
McDonald's 29/4
Doritos 7/2
Other 9/4
Doesn't Budweiser always win this? I mean, hell, they buy at least two dozen ads for the Super Bowl. Take Budweiser.
Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?
God 4/5
Family 4/1
Teammates 2/1
Coach 9/1
Does not Thank Anyone 5/1
The Almighty always wins this one. And what would happen if you bet against God? He might smite you and you don't want that. Take God.
What Song will Bruce Springsteen sing to begin his Halftime Show at the Super Bowl?
The Rising 6/1
Born in the USA 21/20
Radio Nowhere 9/1
The Wrestler 13/2
I'm on Fire 14/1
Born to Run 9/4
Glory Days 11/4
This one is interesting because I actually think Springsteen's newest single, "Working On A Dream" will be the first song. But since that's not an option, I'm going to say that the Boss will start the show with "Born to Run" and finish with "Born in the USA". Tramps like us....Take Born to Run.
How long will it take Jennifer Hudson to sing the National Anthem?
Over 2 minutes and 1 second -155
Under 2 minutes and 1 second +125
I suspect that Ms. Hudson is the "diva" type, which means she'll be holding those notes exxxtttrraaa long. Take the oooovvvvveeeeerrrrr.
How many times will Al Michaels and John Madden reference Ben Roethlisberger as Big Ben during the Game.
Over/Under 5 (+160)o/(-220)u
Now, this is a tough one. The wild card here is Madden. He's really a loose canon and you never know what he'll do/say. But since "Big Ben" is now pretty much a veteran player, I think they'll be able to control themselves. And by now, Madden has surly learned how to pronounce Roethlisberger. Right? Take the under.
How many food items will John Madden mention during the game?
Over/Under 1 1/2 (-280)0/(+220)u
This one's pretty easy. The only thing Madden likes more than football is Bret Farve. The only thing he likes more than football and Favre is food. And since Super Bowl Sunday is probably only second to Thanksgiving in food consumed by Americans, you know where his mind will be. Take the over.
Which NBC Show will get the most Promo’s during the game?
The Office 5/8
Heroes 13/5
30 Rock 17/4
Chuck 6/1
Friday Night Lights 12/1
Jay Leno 18/1
Conan O'Brian 20/1
Another tricky bet. The way I see it, everyone already knows about The Office, 30 Rock, Heroes, Leno, and O'Brian. That leaves Chuck and Friday Night Lights. Now, you might suspect that they'd go with Friday Night Lights and try to lure in the football crowd. But I think they pimp the hell out of Chuck, you know that show that you always see ads for, but never watch. Take Chuck.
What Color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team?
Lime Green 5/1
Yellow 5/2
Orange 6/1
Red 17/4
Blue 9/1
Clear/Water 10/11
Just a hunch. Take Lime Green.
Now, don't comment and tell me on Monday how many I got wrong...I'll tell you how many I got right.
The Golden Boy That Wasn't
He won the Trojans a share of the National title in 2003. He won the Trojans the BCS title in 2004 and in the same year he won the Heisman Trophy. He was pretty much a consensus number 1 pick after that season. He was only a junior and still had another year of eligibility at USC. While most scouts felt he was ready to make the leap to the NFL, Matt Leinart surprised everyone and decided that he liked the college life and wanted to play his last year of college ball. He had Hollywood friends, hung out with stars, and only needing one more class to graduate, Leinart enrolled in a ballroom dancing class--really.
In the 2006 NFL Draft Leinart fell from possibly the first overall pick to the tenth pick, selected by the Arizona Cardinals. He was supposed to be the franchise, the face of the Cardinals. He was supposed to be the one who led the Cardinals to the Super Bowl. Instead his job was ripped by an aging veteran, Kurt Warner. And Warner has now led what was supposed to be Leinart's team to the Super Bowl while Leinart can only stand on the sideline with the clipboard, watching.
What happened to the Golden Boy? His decision to stay in school is now pretty telling. Being a quarterback in the NFL requires dedication, drive, confidence, and all of the physical skills. While it's clear that Leinart had the physical tools, he didn't exhibit the drive necessary to succeed at the professional level. Instead of going into the NFL and getting into training camp (Leinart actually held out during a contract dispute) and learning the pro game, Leinart chose to lounge around USC and be the Big Man On Campus for another season. He didn't really want to be in the NFL. He never really showed the comittment to being a pro. He didn't want to grind, didn't want to put in the work, and it now shows.
Now Leinart will watch Warner play in the biggest game of the year. While he's still young, you have to wonder, Will he ever be a starting quarterback in the NFL? Perhaps the real question is, Does he want to be one?
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
A Great Mystery Solved
So for today's post, I thought I would do something about the Pittsburgh Steelers. I could talk about the Steelers defense (it's good), or about Ben Roethlisberger (he's pretty good). I could talk about the Steelers 5 Super Bowl wins (that's good). But there was one thing that I needed to learn about the Steelers, one thing that has always baffled and perplexed me about one of the greatest franchises in NFL history: why the hell do they have their logo on only one side of their helmets?
They're the only team that doesn't have the logo on both sides (unless you count the Cleveland Browns who don't technically have a logo, and who, despite the name, wear orange helmets). So what gives?
The logo itself is a re-creation of the Steelmark logo originally created by U.S. Steel Corp. In 1962, the Steelers decided to take the players' numbers off the helmet and put the logo on. Back then, the Steelers rocked gold helmets. They weren't sure how the logo would look on the gold helmets, so the equipment manager was instructed to put the logo on only one side of the helmet (the right side). I don't quite understand how only putting the logo on one side would have been better than having it on both sides if they didn't like the look-what they would have saved fifty something stickers?-but I suppose that's neither here nor there.
The Steelers then finished that season with their best record. Then they made it to the playoffs (playoffs?!). Of course, this sudden winning streak was due to the logo. And in the true spirit of superstition, the Steelers kept the one-sided logo look. They did change the color of the helmet to black, but refused to put that second decal on it.
So if you're like me, and have wondered-What's the deal with the Steelers helmet?-but were never inclined to spend about three minutes of research on the internet to find out, there's your answer. Mystery solved.
Monday, January 26, 2009
Getting To Know...The Arizona Cardinals
Okay kids, it's Super Bowl week. All week I'll post something related to the game in some way. If you weren't aware, the Pittsburgh Steelers are playing the Arizona Cardinals. You know plenty about the Steelers: 5 Super Bowl wins, the Steel Curtain, Terry Bradshaw, etc. But who the hell are the Arizona Cardinals? Here are a few things you might not know about the team that nobody expected to be playing in the Super Bowl...ever.
The Cardinals finished the regular season with a 9-7 record
The Cardinals were originally based in Chicago. They started as an amateur athletic club in 1898. In 1922, the Chicago Cardinals were formed. The team moved in 1960 and would call St. Louis home for 28 years (in which they only made the playoffs 3 times). In 1988 the team then moved to Arizona and continued to suck until this year when they were kind of good and somehow made it to the Super Bowl.
The Cardinals are owned by Bill Bidwell. I only mention this because he wears a bow tie. By the way, if you are jonesing to get some action, and the game itself isn't enough, you can bet on what color Bidwell's bow tie will be (red is the favorite). And don't worry, I'll give you some more prop bets later this week.
The Cardinals finished DFL (dead freaking last) in rushing this year with only 1,178 yards. Consider that 9 NFL players rushed for more individual yards than the entire Cardinals team.
The Cardinals drafted Joe Namath in 1965, who, in the same year, was also drafted by the New York Jets. The Cardinals were part of the NFL and the Jets were members of the AFL. They were two seperate entities and held seperate drafts. The Jets offered Namath a $400,000 contract and he signed with the Jets. Try to imagine Broadway Joe wearing Cardinal gear, hard to do isn't it.
The most famous Cardinal player ever, sadly, is probably Rod Tidwell (show me the moneeeyyyy!!!)
There you go. Everything you didn't care about knowing about the Arizona Cardinals. But now you know, and knowing is half the battle.
Friday, January 23, 2009
The Hall of Pretty Good
Yesterday Jeff Kent announced his retirement. And it seems that nowadays, anytime anyone retires or nears retirement, everyone wants to ask, Is this guy Hall of Fame worthy? And so it goes with, the now ex Dodger second baseman, Kent. ESPN's Peter Gammons, whom I have the utmost respect for, thinks that Kent is a first ballot Hall of Famer. That's his opinion and I respect it. If you asked me, "Is Jeff Kent a Hall of Famer?" I would say, "HELL NO!"
The argument for Kent is strictly numerical: 377 homeruns, 2461 hits, 1518 RBI, and a .290 career average. Not bad numbers. The people who argue Kent is a Hall of Famer will say that if you compare his offensive numbers to other second basemen, you can't keep him out. Look at recent Hall of Fame inductee Ryne Sandberg, the Cubs' second baseman: 282 homeruns, 2386 hits, 1061 RBI, and a .285 average. Kent's numbers are clearly better. But, to me Sandberg is a Hall of Fame player (inducted in 2005) and Kent isn't. So what's the difference?
First, I would argue that Kent's numbers are skewed. Everyone put up great numbers in the Steroid Era. Would Kent have these kind of numbers if he played in the seventies or eighties? It's purely a hypothetical question, we'll never know. But if everyone had great numbers in the Steroid Era, Hall of Famers would need spectacular numbers.
Secondly, Kent wasn't a great defensive player. Hell, he wasn't really that good--zero Gold Gloves. Sandberg: 9 time Gold Glove winner. Second base, shortstop, catcher, and centerfield are the key defensive positions. At these four positions defense trumps offense. So if you're not a great defensive player, and you're a second baseman, you're not a great second baseman.
Finally, Kent has the reputation of being one of the biggest a-holes in baseball (how would you like to have been in the Giants clubhouse when Kent and Barry Bonds both played in San Francisco?--yikes). Now I'm not saying you have to be Mother Teresa, (see Ty Cobb). But there aren't going to be a lot of fans, players, writers who will miss Jeff Kent. Sandberg was a team leader, a fan favorite, and after his retirement the Chicago Cubs retired his number 23.
Recently, everyone has an argument for everyone to be in the Hall of Fame. This past election process, which saw Rickey Henderson and Jim Rice elected, also saw Bert Blyleven miss the 75% of votes needed for induction (he received 62.7 %). And some people are up in arms that he didn't make it (including Bert himself). Honestly, Bert Blyleven? He was a decent pitcher. But Hall of Fame?
If the Hall of Fame continues to induct mediocre, slightly above average players, they might as well re-name it the Hall of Pretty Good. That's what Kent was, a pretty good player. And there's nothing wrong with that. But the Hall needs to realize that it's okay to be picky--stop putting players in just to get players in. Look at some of the names that got votes this year: Harold Baines got 32 votes, Matt Williams got 7 votes, Jay Bell got 2 votes. Who the hell is Jay Bell? It's almost as if they are afraid of having a year where no player is inducted. This is a plea to the Baseball Writers of America association, if any of you are reading this (HA!), please, please, save the Hall of Fame, and elect only the elite players, the great ones, the legends.
P.S. I looked up Jay Bell: shortstop who played 18 years with 5 different teams. An interesting note, Bell averaged 13 homeruns per year in his first 9 full seasons. Then, in 1999, Bell hit a whopping 38 home runs! That's quite a jump, very odd, strange really. How in the world could a major league baseball player, in 1999, have such an increase, a surge, in power numbers? It's almost like he got really strong suddenly. Wonder how that happened.
Thursday, January 22, 2009
2 Sport Stars
You've probably seen the new LeBron James commercial in which James dons a Cleveland Browns jersey and starts playing football (if not, here it is: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-5deds-ByU).
And another NBA superstar proclaimed, albeit jokingly, that he was ready to try another sport. Kobe Bryant on joining the Los Angeles Dodgers, "Put me in left field and I'd run it all down. I'm faster than Manny (Ramirez)." And he wants to bat third in the lineup. "I want the clutch situations. Put me in that pressure spot." Considering the Dodgers outfield situation, they might want to consider it.
This recent trend of sports stars looking for double duty got me thinking about recent two sport athletes. The best one in recent years was Bo Jackson, an absolute freak of nature. His best season with the Kansas City Royals (1989) Jackson hit 32 homeruns and drove in 105 RBI's. He was an All Star game MVP. He also played running back for the Los Angeles Raiders. After baseball season was complete, he would join the Raiders, who were halfway through their season. In 4 half seasons of football Jackson averaged 5.4 rushing yards per attempt. His career was ended too early by a hip injury. Had Jackson played football full-time, there is no doubt in my mind that he would have broken the rushing record and it would still be standing to this day.
So is LeBron or Kobe the next Bo Jackson? No way. There will never be another two sport athlete like Bo Jackson. These guys are too valuable. For example, do you think the Steinbrenners would let their $180 million dollar investment, Mark Texeira, play basketball for the Knicks or football for the Giants after the Yankees season was over?
Plus, it's REALLY hard to be good at two different sports. Think about the different skill sets needed to play football and baseball. Now think about how difficult it is to refine the skills to play football and baseball at the professionl level. Now think about honing these skills to the point of being an All Star at both games. Damn near impossible.
So don't expect to see another two sport star. Don't expect to see another Bo Jackson.
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
We All Make Mistakes But...
they rarely end up costing us this much. Unless, of course, you're the Wilpon family (owners of the New York Mets), who, according to some estimates, may have lost up to $700 million (!!!) in Bernard Madoff's Ponzi scheme, errr, investment program.
But one free agent who really goofed this year was Jason Varitek. The Red Sox captain became a free agent at the end of last season. He hasn't received much interest in the open market, though. When the Red Sox offered Varitek arbitration, he probably would have received a one year deal in the neighborhood of $10 million dollars. Not bad, huh? But Varitek and his agent Scott Boras (the devil, satan, Lucifer, whatever) declined thinking that they could get a multi year deal on the market.Big mistake.
Trouble is, there aren't a lot of teams looking for a 36 year old catcher who only hit .220 last year. Boras thought that Varitek would command Jorge Posasda money (4 years/$52 million). Of course, after Posasda signed that deal, he completely broke down and spent most of last year on the DL. Boras is now claiming that Varitek's true value lies in his defense, leadership, and ability to call a game--helping out the pitchers. And that's true, that is his value now. Just don't expect teams to pay $13 million a year for defense and leadership.
Another problem for Varitek is the fact that there is really only one team looking for a starting catcher, the Boston Red Sox. So Varitek has no leverage. With roughly a month before spring training starts, there aren't going to be other teams bidding for Varitek's services. Another problem for Varitek is that the Red Sox are actively trying to work a trade for Arizona Diamondback's catcher Miguel Montero--who comes a lot cheaper than Jason Varitek.
In the end, I suspect that the Red Sox will offer Varitek a 2 year deal for around $ 6 million per year. I hope they do, and I hope Varitek accepts it. I've always been a fan of the captain and admire his grit, hustle, and the leadership that he brings to the ball club. I also hope that the Red Sox are able to make a deal for a young catcher who will be ready to take over in a couple of years. But there is no doubt, Jason Varitek made a costly mistake by refusing the Red Sox's arbitration offer.
If you want to laugh at some rich people who lost a LOT of jack check out the link:
*disclaimer: one of the reasons I made this post was, not only that I'm a huge Red Sox fan, or that it's Hot Stove season in baseball, but so that I could add to my blog the COOLEST picture EVER!!
Tuesday, January 20, 2009
Monday, January 19, 2009
Eating Crow...Or Is It Cardinal
I've doubted them for the entire playoffs. I didn't think they could beat the Falcons. And certainly not the Panthers. And I thought the Eagles were the better team. I thought that Kurt Warner was too old. They couldn't run the ball. Their defense was suspect. But I was wrong. Everything I thought about the Arizona Cardinals was wrong. These guys are good. They're not great (except Larry Fitzgerald), but they're good.
Kurt Warner was a very effecient 21/28 and threw 4 touchdown passes. Not bad for an old guy. And Larry Fitzgerald showed that he is impossible to cover and without doubt the best receiver in the NFL. Edgerrin James and Tim Hightower split 27 carries and teamed up for 106 yards combined. Pretty good numbers for a team that was last in the NFL in rushing during the regular season. And don't forget they played a pretty good Philadelphia defense yesterday. Speaking of defense, the Cardinals, although they did allow 454 total yards, had 3 take-aways and safety Adrian Wilson, who had 7 tackles and 2 sacks, is proving to be one of the best defensive players in the league.
So there, I admit it, I've doubted these guys all playoffs, more like all year, actually my entire life. The Cardinals have never been good, until now. This is a good football team that deserves to go to the Super Bowl, they've earned it. And they'll lose to the Steelers.
Friday, January 16, 2009
Good News...
Red Sox pitchers and catchers report to spring training in 26 hours 12 minutes and 40 seconds!
Pick 'Ems
Here is the opportunity for you to reap the benefits of my hours and hours of wasted time, watching, reading, listening, and thinking about sports. Cash out your kids' college savings, beat down your bookie or licensed gaming institution, and instead of state college send your kids to private school. That's what I'm doing (just kidding, honey). Here are my picks....
lines provided by Caesars-Hilton current as of right now
Philadelphia -3 1/2
I'll admit, for a moment I was almost wrapped up in the Arizona hype--they're the new kids, flashy, the underdogs, and are coming off of two great performances against Atlanta and Carolina. They're a juggernaut, peakin at just the right time. It's destiny, right?
Wrong.
This one will be won by Philly's defense. They will shut down Arizona's run game (shouldn't be tough considering Arizona ranked DFL in the NFL: 73.6 yards per game). They should be able to put pressure on Kurt Warner. And I am assuming they are not, unlike Carolina last week, going to let the best wide receiver in football run all over the field, uncovered.
I expect Brian Westbrook to have a big game. Interesting stat: Arizona is known as the offense that likes to spread it out and throw the football, but Donovan McNabb (517) has more passing yards this postseason than Kurt Warner (491). As the great Chuck D said, "Don't believe the hype" Philly covers:
* Philadelphia 31
Arizona 24
Pittsburgh -6
This is the game that everyone is looking forward to. I've heard all the analogies: it's going to be a war, a heavyweight title bout, a smashmouth-defensive-Dick Butkus-type of game. With the hype surrounding these two defenses you might ask yourself: Will anybody score? Are we about to be witness the greatest defensive struggle ever? Will the energy created by these two unstoppable forces be so spectacular as to, upon impact on a football field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, acutally change the rotation and alter the orbital path of the earth?
As Lee Corso would say, Not so fast my friend.
Baltimore has a good defense. Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Bart Scott, and the vastly under-rated Haloti Ngata, are really, really good. But don't forget that in last week's game, Tennessee was able to move the ball pretty effectively, 391 total yards effectively. Tennessee's problem was turnovers: three times in Baltimore territory. You could make the argument that Baltimore had three take-aways. The point is, Baltimore's defense is not impenetrable. Pittsburgh's offense is good enough that they should be able to move the football and score as long as they can hold onto it. Difference maker will be Santonio Holmes and punt returns.
Baltimore's offense, on the other hand, is a little suspect. They only managed 211 total yard last week against Tennessee. Joe Flacco is still a rookie and no rookie has ever led his team to the championship game. And Baltimore has lost to Pittsburgh twice already in the regular season. Is the third time a charm? Nope...
Baltimore 10
* Pittsburgh 20
lines provided by Caesars-Hilton current as of right now
Philadelphia -3 1/2
I'll admit, for a moment I was almost wrapped up in the Arizona hype--they're the new kids, flashy, the underdogs, and are coming off of two great performances against Atlanta and Carolina. They're a juggernaut, peakin at just the right time. It's destiny, right?
Wrong.
This one will be won by Philly's defense. They will shut down Arizona's run game (shouldn't be tough considering Arizona ranked DFL in the NFL: 73.6 yards per game). They should be able to put pressure on Kurt Warner. And I am assuming they are not, unlike Carolina last week, going to let the best wide receiver in football run all over the field, uncovered.
I expect Brian Westbrook to have a big game. Interesting stat: Arizona is known as the offense that likes to spread it out and throw the football, but Donovan McNabb (517) has more passing yards this postseason than Kurt Warner (491). As the great Chuck D said, "Don't believe the hype" Philly covers:
* Philadelphia 31
Arizona 24
Pittsburgh -6
This is the game that everyone is looking forward to. I've heard all the analogies: it's going to be a war, a heavyweight title bout, a smashmouth-defensive-Dick Butkus-type of game. With the hype surrounding these two defenses you might ask yourself: Will anybody score? Are we about to be witness the greatest defensive struggle ever? Will the energy created by these two unstoppable forces be so spectacular as to, upon impact on a football field in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, acutally change the rotation and alter the orbital path of the earth?
As Lee Corso would say, Not so fast my friend.
Baltimore has a good defense. Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Bart Scott, and the vastly under-rated Haloti Ngata, are really, really good. But don't forget that in last week's game, Tennessee was able to move the ball pretty effectively, 391 total yards effectively. Tennessee's problem was turnovers: three times in Baltimore territory. You could make the argument that Baltimore had three take-aways. The point is, Baltimore's defense is not impenetrable. Pittsburgh's offense is good enough that they should be able to move the football and score as long as they can hold onto it. Difference maker will be Santonio Holmes and punt returns.
Baltimore's offense, on the other hand, is a little suspect. They only managed 211 total yard last week against Tennessee. Joe Flacco is still a rookie and no rookie has ever led his team to the championship game. And Baltimore has lost to Pittsburgh twice already in the regular season. Is the third time a charm? Nope...
Baltimore 10
* Pittsburgh 20
Thursday, January 15, 2009
Biggest Free Agent Bust...Ever?
As reported by Jon Heyman at SI.com, the Los Angeles Dodgers are expected to release outfielder Andruw Jones today after just one year of service. Last off season Jones signed a free agent contract with the Dodgers worth $36.2 million over 2 years with a $12.2 million signing bonus.
What did the Dodgers get for their money? Here are Jones' 2008 stats: .158 batting average, 3 HR, 14 RBI, and he struck out 76 times in 209 at-bats (that's a whopping 36% of the time!). As an Atlanta Brave, Jones was also known to be a stud in the outfield. He won an amazing 10 Gold Glove awards.
So what happened? He got FAT--signed the big free agent deal, stopped working, and was completely out of shape all season. He spent time on the DL with a knee injury--which may or may not have been due to his physical conditioning. He's so bad now that ESPN's Buster Olney argues that, at just 32 years old, Jones' career might be done. Some guys get that big deal, then they go out and work and grind and want to prove that they are worth it. Other guys think the big money deal is the reward for the work they've done. They get their money and just put it in cruise control. Jones, obviously the latter, couldn't even get it into cruise control--the engine fell out.
Jones was definately the biggest bust of the 08 season, but probably not the biggest of all time. The length of the contract (only 2 years) keeps him from being a truly epic bust such as Chan Ho Park (Rangers), Carl Pavano (Yankees), Mo Vaughn (Angels), Mike Hampton (Rockies), and Barry Zito (Giants).
After being stung by Jones, maybe this is the reason the Dodgers are so reluctant to shell out big bucks for Manny Ramirez, who they desperately need if they want to contend in 2009. Or maybe the Dodgers are just being cheap.
Links:
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Florida Gators Win 2010 BCS National Championship
In the event that the Arizona Cardinals might possibly win the Super Bowl and I die from the utter shock of it, I am making this posting a little early (about 350 days early).
With Tim Tebow's announcement that he will return for his senior season, the Florida Gators willl be, hands down, the preseason number 1 and will likely repeat as national champs. Look at the roster of returning starters. The fast, aggressive, physical defense will likely return all starters. Junior linebacker Brandon Spikes may leave for the NFL. That defense that you saw shut down the vaunted Oklahoma offense was mostly sophomores--not one senior.
The offense loses a few seniors, most notably wide receiver Louis Murphy. They will also likely lose speedster Percy Harvin, though he hasn't declared himself eligible for the NFL (who should go pro--sure fire first round pick). But Tebow is back, and the Gators will just plug in the next great running back/wide receiver who is waiting in the wings. The Gators are on par with USC now--they don't have to rebuild. They get the best talent and as soon as one kid graduates or leaves early for the NFL, they just put the next guy in without skipping a beat.
Also, look at their schedule. The non-conference schedule is pretty weak (Charleston Southern, Troy, Florida International, Flordia St.). Their toughest game will be Oct. 10 at LSU. You can take a look at their full schedule here: http://www.gatorzone.com/sched.php?sport=footb The Gators should go undefeated, land in the BCS title game and defeat oh, let's say Texas.
There you have it. Next year's college football season wrapped up already. Now let's just hope the Cardinals don't win the Super Bowl.
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
I Can't Wait For The Induction Speech
The greatest was elected into baseball's Hall of Fame yesterday. Not the greatest base stealer, not the greatest lead-off man, and he is undoubtedly both of these, but the greatest quote ever--Rickey Henderson. His stats are incredible: 1,406 stolen bases, 297 HRs, 1,115 RBIs, and 2295 runs. He was, bar none, the best lead-off hitter EVER. So, what could be better than these career numbers and why am I so excited to hear his Hall of Fame induction ceremony speech? This is just a sample of what truly makes Rickey Henderson legendary:
On a team bus, a teammate told Henderson he could sit anywhere he wanted to, he had tenure. Henderson replied, "Ten years? What are you talking about? Rickey got 16, 17 years."
After being told about a Sports Illustrated report that claimed 50 percent of ball players were on steroids, Henderson said, "I'm not one of them, so that's 49 percent right there."
After signing a contract, then wanting to renegotiate, Henderson said, "Rickey put his name on this contract, but I will not sign it."
Henderson called the San Diego Padres general manager looking for a spot on the roster and left this message, "This is Rickey, calling on behalf of Rickey. Rickey wants to play baseball."
A teammate, whose locker was right next to Henderson's, was sent down to the minor leagues. After the teammate returned to the club, six weeks later, Henderson saw him and said, "Hey man, where have you been? Haven't seen you in a while."
Being the victim of Nolan Ryan's 5,000th career strikeout, Henderson looked on the bright side, "It gave me no chance. He just blew it by me. But it's an honor. I'll have another paragraph in all the baseball books. I'm already in the books three or four times."
The reason for waiting to cash a check while a Yankee, "I'm just waiting for the money market rates to go up."
After being asked if he talked to himself, Henderson responded, "Do I talk to myself? No, I just remind myself of what I'm trying to do. You know, I never answer myself so how can I be talking to myself?"
After seeing a large gathering of reporters in the clubhouse, Henderson asked a teammate what was going on. The teammate told Henderson that Tom Robson had just been fired. Henderson asked, "Who's he?" (He was the teams hitting coach)
After striking out, Henderson was returning to the dugout. The next batter walked past him and heard Henderson telling himself, "Don't worry, Rickey, you're still the best."
Yes, Rickey, yes you are.
Monday, January 12, 2009
2009 NFL Playoffs: AFC
Chargers 24 Steelers 35
The Pittsburgh Steelers were in fine form Sunday, defeating the Chargers. Ben Roethlisberger showed no affects from a concussion suffered two weeks ago and Willie Parker ran wild going for 146 yards on 27 carries and had 2 touchdowns.
The Steelers defense, as usual, was impressive. They held the Chargers rushing attack to only 15 yards on 12 carries. Do the math, that's not a good average. The Steeler D turned the Chargers into a one dimensional offense. And everyone knows, if you can't run the football in the post-season, you can't win. Charger runningback Darren Sproles was a factor in the passing game and returning kicks, but couldn't get anything going on the ground. Would a healthy LaDainian Tomlinson have helped? Doubt it. The Steelers gameplan was to put a lockdown on the Chargers ground game, and it worked. Philip Rivers had a good game, but I can guarantee that if you only manage 15 yards of rushing offense in an NFL playoff game, you will lose.
Stat of the game: the Chargers third quarter time of possession was a meager 17 seconds. Really. I'm not an offensive coordinator, but I know that it's damn hard to score any points if you don't have the football.
Ravens 13 Titans 10
Did anyone really expect an offensive explosion in this game? This was a classic defensive showdown. As usual, games like this come down to one thing, turnovers. The Ravens held onto the ball and the Titans comitted 3 turnovers.
The Titans did get jobbed by the officials on the last drive of the game. There was a clear delay of game penalty that didn't get called. Bad play for the official that missed the call, but it wasn't the reason the Titans lost the game. Titan fan, don't blame the refs, blame the Ravens defense, blame Joe Flacco (this kid's a rookie?), and losing Chris Johnson in the first half didn't help.
Or do as Titan linebacker Keith Bulluck did, blame the offense, "You go out and play defense the way you did. At the end of the day, realistically you have two, three turnovers inside the 20, you're not supposed to win." And that's why you didn't.
2009 NFL Playoffs: NFC
Eagles 23 Giants 11
After last years stellar playoff performance and Super Bowl MVP, Eli Manning remembered that he was, well, Eli Manning. The Giants QB went 15/29 for 169 yards, no touchdowns, and two interceptions as the number one seed in the NFC fell to the Eagles.
It was a windy day, the Eagles do play tough defense, but Mannings poor performance cost the Giants a chance to repeat as Super Bowl champions. And it's easy to blame the quarterback whenever a team loses. But the Giants' business model is: play stout defense, run, run, run the ball, don't turn the ball over. Manning's two interceptions and the offense's inability to get the ball into the endzone cost the Giants.
And don't forget about the absence of Plaxico Burress. Out after shooting himself in the leg in a night club earlier in the season (which I wouldn't recommend), the lanky receiver was an impossible match up for most db's and sorely missed by the Giants offense which, after five trips to the red zone, failed to score a singel touchdown.
Cardinals 33 Panthers 13
News flash: HELL HAS FROZEN OVER! The Arizona Cardinals, yes those Arizona Cardinals, will host the NFC Championship game. Not only did the Cardinals beat the second seed Panthers in Carolina, they dominated. Think you had a bad day? Check out Panther QB Jake Delhomme's numbers: 17/34, 205 yards, 1 TD, and 5, yes, 5 interceptions.
Most analysts said Arizona's defense was too soft. They forced 6 turnovers, had 2 sacks, and held Carolina's vaunted rushing attack to 75 yards. If that's soft, what's hard?
Carolina was supposed to be the team with the dominating defense. Just a heads up to the coaching staff, the next time you play the Cardinals, try to cover Larry Fitzgerald--he's kind of good. The Carolina secondary was torched by Fitzgerald (8 receptions, 166 yards).
This is what Bizarro World must be like. Ask yourself, did you ever think you would hear the words, "The Cardinals are one win away from the Super Bowl?" I know, it's crazy, right? And they've got a real shot. If the game against the Eagles were in Philadelphia, I don't think they'd have a chance. But with the game at home.....I'll give you my pick later this week.
Tuesday, January 6, 2009
The Case for Utah
College football incites passion in fans and everyone thinks their team is number one. This year is no different. The winner of Thursdays BCS National Championship game between Oklahoma and Florida is supposed to decide the best team in college football. But, USC's annual Rose Bowl beat down of the Big Ten has led some to speculate that perhaps USC is the best team in the country. And, of course, Texas with their one-loss season, victory earlier in the year over Oklahoma, and Fiesta Bowl win over Ohio State, believes that they have the right to claim number one.
I've been watching college football for a long time. I like to think I'm a fairly reasonable, smart, informed fan of the game. And this may sound crazy, but I think that the University of Utah has every reason to chant, "We're number one!" and they're right.
First of all, Utah went undefeated. They won every game on their schedule. I don't care what conference you play in, an undefeated season is hard, damn hard. The main argument against Utah is their conference--the Mountain West is too weak. If Utah played in a big-time BCS conference they'd probably lose three or four games. Really? The Mountain West sent five teams to bowl games (all teams won their games except BYU), had three teams finish the season in the top 20 and will end up with two teams in the top 10 (Utah and TCU). The Big 10 might have one team finish in the top 10 (if Penn St. can hang on). The Big 10 sent seven teams to bowl games and the conference went 1-6. How about the Big East? The best team in the Big East was Cincinnati. They went 11-3 and lost to Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl. It's unlikely that a Big East team will finish the season in the top twenty. The ACC? They might finish with two teams in the top twenty (Virginia Tech and Florida St.). The highest ranked team in the ACC was Georgia Tech (14th) who got smoked by an un-ranked LSU team. So the argument against the Mountain West, and therefore against Utah, is no argument at all.
Next, they not only defeated, but thoroughly whipped, fourth-ranked Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. Every pundit said that Utah didn't have the size, the speed, the athletes to compete with Alabama. Fox analyst Barry Switzer claimed that Utah didn't have a single player on their team that Alabama would recruit. Maybe they'll want to now. Because Utah was faster. Their defense was better (sacking John Parker Wilson eight times). And they "out-physicalled" Alabama's premier athletes. And don't forget that Alabama was ranked number 1 for a good part of the season.
Without a playoff system, the college football post-season is mostly subjective, nothing more than a beauty contest. Coaches and writers vote for the teams they think are the best. Everyone has their own criteria. Some favor win-loss record. Others factor in strength of schedule. And still others simply vote for the teams that have traditionally been powerhouses; they can't vote Utah as number one because they are, well, UTAH! And the Utes can't control that. But they did the one thing they could do. In the end, they proved it on the field.
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